Football Behavior
NFL Predictions With Behavior ScienceExclusive Analytics
Predictions Made
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Correct Prediction Percentage (Winners, Spreads, Team Point Totals, Player Props)
Recent Analysis
The Most Recent In-Depth, Exclusive Analysis From Football Behavior
Monday Night Football Prediction, Pick Week 1: Jets vs. Bills
Our Monday Night Football prediction starts and stops with the value Aaron Rodgers brings to the New York Jets. The behavioral data is fascinating, especially when we add the Bills to the mix. Here’s why the New York Jets will be our Pigeon Picks Week 1 Monday Night...
Sunday Night Football Prediction, Pick Week 1: Giants vs. Cowboys
Our Week 1 Sunday Night Football prediction will shed light on this Giants vs. Cowboys rivalry. Should the Cowboys be paying closer attention to Giants, or are they too worried about catching Philly? Based on our Pigeon Picks model, we think there could be an upset...
Week 1 Thursday Night Football Prediction For Chiefs vs. Lions
The Football Behavior Week 1 Thursday Night Football prediction, we have an opening night Chiefs vs. Lions matchup that we have been warning bettors to be sharp on since early August. With the Travis Kelce injury the line has narrowed, but based on our Pigeon...
Sports Betting Strategy: Week 1 NFL Predictions
It is one thing to know the point spreads, or to have a feeling about who will win. It is an entirely different thing to strategize on how to turn that into a profit. At Football Behavior, we use our Pigeon Picks Prediction model to develop a unique sports betting...
Jaguars vs. Colts Prediction, Odds, Picks
At Football Behavior, we use the preseason to gather information and to build behavioral profiles of who these teams are. When we get to see starters in action, it goes a long way to helping us with our predictions. There were a few teams in particular that played...
Bengals vs. Browns Prediction, Odds, Picks
After we made our first Pigeon Pick for the NFL Opening Kickoff game with our Lions vs. Chiefs prediction in early August, we decided to start digging in to each of other Week 1 point spreads. One really jumped out at us, which led to this Bengals vs. Browns...
FAQ
Why A Pigeon?
Behaviorist B.F. Skinner famously used pigeons in his experiments. One of his most well know experiments was when he used pigeons to establish the formation of superstitious thinking. He observed pigeons behaved in a certain way in order to access food, and began to make assumptions about what they had to do in order to get it, even if those behaviors were not actually the trigger to getting food.
Likewise, football fans, sports bettors, sports media, etc., all tend to fall into superstitious thinking, or explanatory fictions, when they attempt to explain what it is they are seeing on the field. The conversations tend to move away from observable behaviors into the subjective reasoning and assumptions. We use our decade+ of experience working directly with NFL players and coaches, as well as expertise in behavior science to avoid that trap and to educate our audience directly on what really matters.
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Why Is This Valuable?
Our focus is solely on educating football fans and coaches as to how human behavior plays a significant role in performance. We have applied this in the real world scenarios, both on field and through sports betting. Our track record speaks for itself.
From training an NFL Offensive lineman during his year away from the game, helping him become a starter immediately upon his return, to hitting over 68% of our sports bets. There is valuable information for everybody!