Football Behavior
NFL Predictions With Behavior ScienceExclusive Analytics
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Correct Prediction Percentage (Winners, Spreads, Team Point Totals, Player Props)
Recent Analysis
The Most Recent In-Depth, Exclusive Analysis From Football Behavior
Monday Night Football Prediction, Pick Week 11: Eagles vs. Chiefs
Our Monday Night Football prediction for the Eagles vs. Chiefs notes that these are not the same two teams from last year's Super Bowl. Our exclusive behavioral analysis reveals that the winner of this one will win a low-scoring, time of possession-centered game,...
Sunday Night Football Prediction, Pick Week 11: Vikings vs. Broncos
Our Football Behavior Sunday Night Football prediction for the Vikings vs. Broncos matchup looks at the Vikings massive environmental change with Josh Dobbs coming in at quarterback for an injured Kirk Cousins. This is a game where there's still a lot we have yet to...
Thursday Night Football Prediction, Pick Week 11: Bengals vs. Ravens
Our Thursday Night Football prediction for the Bengals vs. Ravens Week 11 matchup draws the connection between Lamar Jackson's turnover behavior and their win-loss record. If Jackson protected the football, there aren't many lanes for the Bengals to pull off an upset....
Monday Night Football Prediction, Pick Week 10: Broncos vs. Bills
Our Monday Night Football prediction for the Broncos vs. Bills sees a potential upset as the most likely scenario. The key behaviors to focus on is the Broncos better-than-talked-about defense, and the Bills slightly declining upset. If that goes according to plan,...
Sunday Night Football Prediction, Pick Week 10: Jets vs. Raiders
Our Football Behavior Sunday Night Football prediction for the Week 10 Jets vs. Raiders matchup examInes the Raiders new performance environment following their first game since firing Josh McDaniels. Is such a drastic change in behavior sustainable? We already know...
Thursday Night Football Prediction, Pick Week 10: Panthers vs. Bears
Our Thursday Night Football prediction for the Panthers vs. Bears Week 10 matchup wonders if it actually matters who starts at quarterback for Chicago? That question plays heavily on our Thursday Night Football picks. Below is every bet we placed, along with data and...
FAQ
Why A Pigeon?
Behaviorist B.F. Skinner famously used pigeons in his experiments. One of his most well know experiments was when he used pigeons to establish the formation of superstitious thinking. He observed pigeons behaved in a certain way in order to access food, and began to make assumptions about what they had to do in order to get it, even if those behaviors were not actually the trigger to getting food.
Likewise, football fans, sports bettors, sports media, etc., all tend to fall into superstitious thinking, or explanatory fictions, when they attempt to explain what it is they are seeing on the field. The conversations tend to move away from observable behaviors into the subjective reasoning and assumptions. We use our decade+ of experience working directly with NFL players and coaches, as well as expertise in behavior science to avoid that trap and to educate our audience directly on what really matters.
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Our focus is solely on educating football fans and coaches as to how human behavior plays a significant role in performance. We have applied this in the real world scenarios, both on field and through sports betting. Our track record speaks for itself.
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