Applied Football Behavior Analytics
Exclusive Analysis Using Proprietary AnalyticsExclusive Metrics
Tale of the Tape: Mahomes vs. Purdy
If You're Short On Time... Both Quarterbacks Got WORSE at throwing Touchdowns vs. Interceptions in 2023 Mahomes Got Better After The Bye Week, Purdy Got Less Bad Mahomes Became More Stable, Purdy More Unstable FULL QB Prop Predictions For Subscribers, Enter Your...
NFL Analytics: Is Momentum Real?
If You're Short On Time... Yes, Momentum Is Real Yes, Momentum Is Measurable The Discussion Around "Analytics" Is Misinformed On Both Sides A Different Kind Of Analytcis: The Three Laws of Football Behavior Is Momentum Real?: Momentum Defined What is Momentum?...
NFL Analytics Predictions: Who Took The Tougher Path To The 2024 Super Bowl?
If You're Short On Time... The Chiefs again have played the MUCH tougher schedule heading into the big game 49ers had one of the easiest offensive schedules in the NFL UPDATED: NFL Margin For Error Ranking NFL Analytics Prediction: Chiefs Prove Elite Status En Route...
2023-2024 NFL Power Rankings: Super Bowl Margin For Error Score
If You're Short On Time... The 49ers Reclaim The Throne Ravens Fall Behind The Super Bowl Will Feature The Top Two MFE Teams For The Second Straight Year The Super Bowl Will Feature The Top SBx Team For The Second Straight Year How We Do It: Margin For Error Rankings:...
2024 AFC Championship Prediction: Chiefs More Battle Tested Than Ravens
If You're Short On Time... The Chiefs played a tougher offensive schedule than Baltimore did Ravens enjoyed flukey success against winning teams How We Bet... Chiefs +3.5 (-120) Chiefs ML (+175) Chiefs OVER 18.5 (-165) Ravens UNDER 26.5 (-170) FULL NFL Margin For...
2023-2024 NFL Margin For Error Rankings: Conference Championship
NFL Margin For Error Rankings (MFE) is how we at Football Behavior do a version of 'Power Rankings". With only two weeks of football left, there is still some movement to be made among the top teams remaining. Our top three MFE teams have each made it to the final...
NFL Margin For Error: How It’s Made
NFL Margin For Error Rankings (MFE) is how we at Football Behavior do a version of 'Power Rankings". Trying to standardize and rank the NFL teams arbitrarily may seem like a fun exercise but rarely does it provide any level of value. So what we've done...
2023-2024 NFL Margin For Error Rankings: Divisional Round
NFL Margin For Error Rankings (MFE) is how we at Football Behavior do a version of 'Power Rankings". Trying to standardize and rank the NFL teams arbitrarily may seem like a fun exercise but rarely does it provide any level of value. So what we've done...
The Second Law Of Football Behavior
Football Behavior’s Second Law of Football Behavior, focusing on the defense's primary job to prevent the opposing offense from scoring, resonates deeply with the strategic and analytical aspects of NFL football. The second of The Three Laws Of Football Behavior, this...
The First Law Of Football Behavior
The First Law Of Football Behavior is the first in a series explaining the Three Laws Of Football Behavior, and how it lays the foundation for how we analyze and predict future outcomes. With this you will learn how to precisely analyze offensive potency and gain a...