This Giants vs. Bills Sunday Night Football prediction rests solely on the Bills ability to take the game seriously. They are with out question the better team. Can they recover from their Week 5 loss over in London? The Giants offense is very volatile, and so is the Bills defense. Something has to give. 

Sunday Night Football Prediction: What To Know

 

  • When:
    • Sunday, October 15th, 8:20 pm, est
  • Where:
    • Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
  • Odds:
    • Giants +800 | Bills -1250

 

Giants Have NFL’s Most Unstable Offense

 

Sunday Night Football Pick: Giants Offense Hasn't Been Able To Get Off The Ground

Sunday Night Football Pick: Giants Offense Hasn’t Been Able To Get Off The Ground

 

Our points of focus for this Sunday Night Football prediction is the unpredictability of the Giants offense. They are by far the league’s most unstable offense. Through five games they have been shut out and scored 30+ points. They have scored 3 points and 12. They are averaging a scoring behavior rate (SBx) of 0.19 points per minute of possession time. They have been unpredictable, and bad. Not. great combination.

 

  • The Giants have a x11 bounce rate
    • That means week to week their next score could be a multiple of 11 from the previous one. 
    • x11 is 5.5 times more unstable than the desired x2 bounce rate.
  • Their SBx average of 0.19 is last in the NFL
    • The Giants offense has Both the highest rate of instability, and the worst rate of scoring

 

Sunday Night Football Prediction: Giants Are The Most Unstable Offense In The NFL

Sunday Night Football Prediction: Giants Are The Most Unstable Offense In The NFL

 

On Sunday, the the Giants will be facing the Buffalo Bills. The Giants have little chance of pulling this one out. Between their very poor performances and their instability, Buffalo is not the team to get right against. Though, any given Sunday and all that. 

 

Bills Offense Is Trending Up

 

Sunday Night Football Pick: Bills Offense Beginning To Explode

Sunday Night Football Pick: Bills Offense Beginning To Explode

 

The Buffalo Bills make this Sunday Night Football prediction quite a simple one. Their SBx is trending up sharply. This is in large part due to their opening game debacle against the Jets, and their explosive performance against the Dolphins. But in between they have had three performances where they have hit and SBx of 0.9 points per minute of possession time. Even in their Week 5 loss to the Jaguars in London, they scored 0.9 points per minute of possession time. They only had the ball for 21 minutes, but when they had it, they scored. 

 

 

Sunday Night Football Prediction: Bills Offense Is Trending Up

Sunday Night Football Prediction: Bills Offense Is Trending Up

 

 

The Bills are reminding people why they were in the yearly conversation for Super Bowl contender. Their SBx trend line is unsustainable, but if they level out in the 0.9 points per minute range, it will make them one of the more potent offenses in football. Combined with their defense, who has been performing well, they are one of the dominant teams in the NFL. 

 

Going up against a team who is perhaps in the polar opposite situation, this was a rather easy Sunday Night Football pick with the Pigeon Picks sports betting model

 

 

Giants vs. Bills Sunday Night Football Pick

 

The Football Behavior Sunday Night Football prediction for the Week 6 Giants vs. Bills starts with finding an edge in the betting lines. We predict a game that is likely to be a blow out, but need to account for an offense for the Giants that has is extremely volatile.

 

That is why our SNF pick for Week 6 is the Bills. But the question is by how much and how can we get good odds?

 

Giants vs. Bills SNF Pick & Prediction

 

All of the bets from Pigeon Pick Sports Betting Model can be tracked on Pikkit

 

*Football Behavior did not bet on the moneyline or against the spread in this Sunday Night Football matchup.

 

 

*Football Behavior selected this due to the volatility in the Giants offense. While the confidence is high in a Bills win, by how much is in question. 

 

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  • Game Risk Report
    • 51.9% Chance Of Outlier Performances
    • Reason: Giants Offense With x11 Bounce Rate, Combined With Bills Defense With x4.5 Bounce Rate 

legal disclaimer

**Odds last updated at PointsBet Wednesday evening