As we gear up for the Week 15 Thursday Night Football prediction, despite their records, the Chargers vs. Raiders matchup promises an intriguing contest of shifting dynamics and strategic challenges. If for no other reason, both coaches are fighting for their jobs. The game not only presents an opportunity for each team to prove their mettle but also sets the stage for a deeper analysis of their current states and potential trajectories. Even losing teams have behavior to analyze.
Week 15 Thursday Night Football Prediction: What To Know
- When:
- Thursday Night, December 14th, 2023, 8:20 pm, est
- Where:
- Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
- Odds:
- Line: Raiders -3
- O/U: 34.5
- What To Do:
- Take full advantage of our EXCLUSIVE Behavior Profiling with the ONLY model backed by the science of human behaviorš§¬
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Week 15 Thursday Night Football Picks
Bets Placed:
- Raiders Moneyline (-140)
Chargers vs. Raiders: Week 15 Thursday Night Football Prediction
The final score projection, based on all non-outlier outcomes, indicates a narrow victory for the Raiders at 17-14 over the Chargers. Our Week 15 Thursday Night Football prediction reflects the current state of both teams, which will indicate why they are next to each other in our Week 15 Power Rankings, with the Chargers offensive struggles potentially getting worse due to the quarterback situation, and the Raiders showing defensive strength but with offensive inconsistencies of their own.
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Chargers Offense Already Performing Poorly
Starting with the Chargers, their situation has taken a dramatic turn with the loss of Justin Herbert to a season-ending injury. Herbertās absence thrusts Easton Stick into the spotlight as the starting quarterback. Given the Chargers’ recent offensive struggles, evidenced by a 37% week-to-week regression in scoring behavior, Stick’s lack of experience, especially on a short week, does not bode well for a turnaround. This is a critical juncture for the Chargers, as they navigate this unexpected change while facing a formidable opponent in the Raiders.
Maxx Crosby Leads Raiders Defense
The Raiders, meanwhile, are experiencing a defensive resurgence. The stellar performance of Maxx Crosby, who is making a strong case for all-pro recognition, is a key factor in their defense’s 31% improvement in score prevention behavior rate. Last week’s impressive feat of holding the Vikings to just three points is a testament to their growing defensive prowess. For the Chargers, whose offensive machinery is already under stress, encountering Crosby and the improved Raiders defense adds a significant challenge to their Week 15 Thursday Night Football prediction.
Raiders Offense Is Lost
However, the Raiders’ offense has its own struggles. After a brief surge post the firing of Josh McDaniels, they have regressed, leading to speculation about a return to Jimmy Garoppolo over rookie Aiden O’Connell. Last week’s offensive shutdown, with a 45% regression in scoring behavior and averaging less than half a point per minute of possession, highlights their difficulties. The inconsistency in the Raiders’ offense, coupled with the Chargers’ defensive capabilities, could make this a closely contested battle in the Chargers vs. Raiders game.
Pierce Running Our Of Time
For Raiders’ interim coach Antonio Pierce, time is running out to solidify his claim for the full-time coaching role. The Chargers vs. Raiders game on Thursday Night Football is more than just another game; it’s a chance for Pierce to demonstrate his ability to steer the team through turbulent times. His strategic decisions in this game could have significant implications for his future with the Raiders.
Thursday Night Football Picks
We would not recommend betting heavily in this game, based solely on behavior analysis. The insertion of Easton Stick, along with the weak internal control of both units for the Raiders make outliers much more possible. Please proceed with caution.Ā
Chargers vs. Raiders: TNF Pick & Prediction
- Projected Score (Average Across All Non-Outlier Outcomes)
- Chargers 13.62, Raiders 17.02 (W)Ā
- Bets Placed
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- Raiders Moneyline (-140)
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- Risk Report
- Most Likely Outlier: The Raiders On Either Side Of The Ball
- Proceed With Extreme Caution
**All Odds provided by PointsBet (Last Updated Wednesday PM)
** All Pigeon Picks bets tracked at Pikkit
