Football Behavior
NFL Predictions With Behavior ScienceExclusive Analytics
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Recent Analysis
The Most Recent In-Depth, Exclusive Analysis From Football Behavior
NFL Margin For Error: How It’s Made
NFL Margin For Error Rankings (MFE) is how we at Football Behavior do a version of 'Power Rankings". Trying to standardize and rank the NFL teams arbitrarily may seem like a fun exercise but rarely does it provide any level of value. So what we've done...
2023-2024 NFL Margin For Error Rankings: Divisional Round
NFL Margin For Error Rankings (MFE) is how we at Football Behavior do a version of 'Power Rankings". Trying to standardize and rank the NFL teams arbitrarily may seem like a fun exercise but rarely does it provide any level of value. So what we've done...
Decoding the Eagles vs. Buccaneers Playoff: Insights Beyond the Surface Stats
Our Super Wild Card round prediction for the Eagles vs. Buccaneers sees the game's outcome mired in a web of evolving team trends and under-the-radar statistics. The reputation of the Eagles may be clouding the general public's perception of who they really are,...
Unveiling Their True Nature: Bills vs. Dolphins AFC East Championship Prediction
As we make this Bills vs. Dolphins AFC East championship prediction, a deeper analysis beyond traditional statistics reveals a more nuanced story of both teams. This narrative, grounded in behavioral trends and performance metrics, challenges the conventional...
Week 18 Texans vs. Colts: Analyzing Offensive Challenges and Defensive Volatility
In the high-stakes world of the NFL, with a playoff berth on the line, the upcoming Texans vs. Colts clash stands as a compelling narrative of contrasts. Picture the electric atmosphere of a stadium where anxious breaths hang in the chilly air of every Colts fan...
Week 17 Sunday Night Football Prediction: Packers vs. Vikings
As we approach the pivotal Week 17 Sunday Night Football prediction between the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings, a behaviorist's perspective offers a unique analysis of the teams' performance trends. Understanding these trends not only enriches our...
FAQ
Why A Pigeon?
Behaviorist B.F. Skinner famously used pigeons in his experiments. One of his most well know experiments was when he used pigeons to establish the formation of superstitious thinking. He observed pigeons behaved in a certain way in order to access food, and began to make assumptions about what they had to do in order to get it, even if those behaviors were not actually the trigger to getting food.
Likewise, football fans, sports bettors, sports media, etc., all tend to fall into superstitious thinking, or explanatory fictions, when they attempt to explain what it is they are seeing on the field. The conversations tend to move away from observable behaviors into the subjective reasoning and assumptions. We use our decade+ of experience working directly with NFL players and coaches, as well as expertise in behavior science to avoid that trap and to educate our audience directly on what really matters.
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Our focus is solely on educating football fans and coaches as to how human behavior plays a significant role in performance. We have applied this in the real world scenarios, both on field and through sports betting. Our track record speaks for itself.
From training an NFL Offensive lineman during his year away from the game, helping him become a starter immediately upon his return, to hitting over 68% of our sports bets. There is valuable information for everybody!