Football Behavior
NFL Predictions With Behavior ScienceExclusive Analytics
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The Most Recent In-Depth, Exclusive Analysis From Football Behavior
Monday Night Football Prediction, Pick Week 3: Eagles vs. Buccaneers, Rams vs. Bengals
Our Monday Night Football prediction features two pivotal matchups when we see the Eagles vs. Buccaneers, and the Rams vs. Bengals. Here’s why the Rams and the Eagles will be our Pigeon Picks Week 3 Monday Night Football picks. Monday Night Football...
Sunday Night Football Prediction, Pick Week 3: Steelers vs. Raiders
Football Behavior’s Week 3 Sunday Night Football prediction forecasts the likely behavior of two underwhelming teams. The Las Vegas Raiders have yet to figure out how to full-team performance together. Week 1 was the offense, Week 2 the defense. On the other...
Thursday Night Football Prediction, Pick Week 3: Giants vs. 49ers
In the Football Behavior Week 3 Thursday Night Football prediction, we have a Giants vs. 49ers matchup that wonders if Daniel Jones can overcome the 49ers elite defense. Brock Purdy, on the other hand, has been everything the 49ers need from the quarterback position....
Monday Night Football Pick, Prediction For Browns vs. Steelers, Panthers vs. Saints
Our Monday Night Football prediction features two divisional matchups when we see the Saints vs. Panthers, and the Browns vs. Steelers. Here’s why the Saints and the Browns will be our Pigeon Picks Week 2 Monday Night Football picks. Monday Night Football...
Sunday Night Football Prediction, Pick Week 2: Dolphins vs. Patriots
Our Week 2 Sunday Night Football prediction will shed light on the AFC East battle, Dolphins vs. Patriots. Miami had an offensive explosion in Week 1, while New England lost a nail biter to Philly. Based on our Pigeon Picks model, we think we will see a close matchup...
Thursday Night Football Prediction, Pick Week 2: Vikings vs. Eagles
In the Football Behavior Week 2 Thursday Night Football prediction, we have a Vikings vs. Eagles matchup that has the Super Bowl runner up coming off a nail biting win, and last year’s NFC two-seed coming off a disappointing loss. What role does the apparent...
FAQ
Why A Pigeon?
Behaviorist B.F. Skinner famously used pigeons in his experiments. One of his most well know experiments was when he used pigeons to establish the formation of superstitious thinking. He observed pigeons behaved in a certain way in order to access food, and began to make assumptions about what they had to do in order to get it, even if those behaviors were not actually the trigger to getting food.
Likewise, football fans, sports bettors, sports media, etc., all tend to fall into superstitious thinking, or explanatory fictions, when they attempt to explain what it is they are seeing on the field. The conversations tend to move away from observable behaviors into the subjective reasoning and assumptions. We use our decade+ of experience working directly with NFL players and coaches, as well as expertise in behavior science to avoid that trap and to educate our audience directly on what really matters.
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