Football Behavior
NFL Predictions With Behavior ScienceExclusive Analytics
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The Most Recent In-Depth, Exclusive Analysis From Football Behavior
Monday Night Football Prediction, Pick Week 5: Packers vs. Raiders
Our Monday Night Football prediction between the Packers vs. Raiders looks at the behavioral trends of both teams. The Packers are trending in the wrong direction, but could a potential Week 3 outlier be the culprit? Meanwhile, the Raiders offense isn't trending as...
Sunday Night Football Prediction, Pick Week 5: Cowboys vs. 49ers
The Football Behavior Sunday Night Football pick for the Cowboys vs. 49ers matchup sees Brock Purdy as a worthy QB1 who has the 49ers operating at their best. He'll be facing a Cowboys defense that has been volatile so far this season, and more importantly, untested....
Thursday Night Football Prediction, Pick Week 5: Bears vs. Commanders
The Football Behavior Thursday Night Football pick highlights the consistently poor performance of the Bears defense with Matt Eberflus as head coach. We also take a look at the increasing volatility of the Commanders offense. The two come together in this Bears vs....
Monday Night Football Prediction, Pick Week 4: Seahawks vs. Eagles
Our Monday Night Football prediction features a pivotal matchup when we see the Seahawks vs. Giants. Here’s why the Seahawks will be our Pigeon Picks Week 4 Monday Night Football pick.Monday Night Football Prediction: What To Know When: Monday Night, 10/2/2023...
Sunday Night Football Prediction, Pick Week 4: Chiefs vs. Jets
Football Behavior’s Chiefs vs. Jets Week 4 Sunday Night Football pick forecasts the likely behavior of two teams headed in opposite directions. The Kansas City Chiefs have begun to go on a roll since their opening night loss to the Lions. But it isn't the offense that...
Thursday Night Football Prediction, Pick Week 4: Lions vs. Packers
In the Football Behavior Week 4 Thursday Night Football prediction, we have a Lions vs. Packers matchup that focuses on Jared Goff and Lions regressing from their 2022 pace after high expectations. Also, was Week 3 from the Packers an outlier, or part of their...
FAQ
Why A Pigeon?
Behaviorist B.F. Skinner famously used pigeons in his experiments. One of his most well know experiments was when he used pigeons to establish the formation of superstitious thinking. He observed pigeons behaved in a certain way in order to access food, and began to make assumptions about what they had to do in order to get it, even if those behaviors were not actually the trigger to getting food.
Likewise, football fans, sports bettors, sports media, etc., all tend to fall into superstitious thinking, or explanatory fictions, when they attempt to explain what it is they are seeing on the field. The conversations tend to move away from observable behaviors into the subjective reasoning and assumptions. We use our decade+ of experience working directly with NFL players and coaches, as well as expertise in behavior science to avoid that trap and to educate our audience directly on what really matters.
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