At Football Behavior, we view tonight’s Monday Night Football matchups – Packers vs. Giants and Titans vs. Dolphins – through the lens of behavioral science. This approach focuses on observable team behaviors and their adaptation to environmental factors, offering a unique perspective for our Monday Night Football predictions. The Giants face challenges with offensive consistency, contrasted by the Packers’ stable scoring behavior. Meanwhile, the Dolphins show reactive tendencies influenced by opponent quality, while the Titans exhibit gradual improvement under a rookie quarterback. These behavioral patterns and trends are key in formulating tonight’s game predictions, demonstrating the value of radical behaviorism in sports analysis.
Monday Night Football Prediction: What To Know
- When:
- Sunday Night, December 11th, 2023, 8:215 pm, est
- Sunday Night, December 11th, 2023, 8:215 pm, est
- Where:
- MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
- HardRock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
- Odds:
- Packers vs. Giants
- Line: Packers -6
- O/U: 36.5
- Titans vs. Dolphins
- Line: Dolphins -14
- O/U: 46.5
- Packers vs. Giants
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Monday Night Football Picks
Bets Placed:
- Packers vs. Giants
- Giants +6.5 (-110)
- Packers Moneyline (-260)
- Titans vs. Dolphins
- Titans +13.5 (-110)
- Alt. UNDER 48.5 (-125)
Packers vs. Giants: Monday Night Football Prediction
In the landscape of radical behaviorism, where the focus is on observable, measurable behaviors and their modification through environmental factors, the upcoming Monday Night Football prediction for Packers vs. Giants offers a clear contrast in team dynamics and performance.
Giants Offensive Chaos
The Giants, embroiled in offensive chaos throughout the season, are a textbook example of the impact of weak internal control on team performance. With an x5.8 bounce rate, their scoring behavior is not only erratic but predominantly low, with 2/3 of their games this season coming in below 0.5 points per minute of possession time. This lack of consistency and efficiency, compounded by injuries and changes in their quarterback lineup, paints a picture of a team struggling to find its footing.
For the Giants in the Packers vs. Giants game, the challenge lies in overcoming this internal chaos. Strengthening their internal control, perhaps by stabilizing their quarterback situation and solidifying their offensive line, could be key to improving their performance. With Tyrod Taylor healthy, Coach Dabble is opting for stability by keeping Devito as the starter, something we agree with.Â
Packers Offensive Harmony
Conversely, the Packers are entering Monday Night Football on the back of a significant win against the Chiefs, showcasing six consecutive weeks of scoring behavior growth. Their x1.3 bounce rate is indicative of high levels of internal control, a testament to Matt LaFleur’s coaching effectiveness. This suggests a team that has not only found a successful formula but has also been able to maintain and enhance it consistently. In the Packers vs. Giants matchup, the Packers’ strategy should be to continue leveraging this high level of internal control, capitalizing on the Giants’ defensive weaknesses while maintaining their own offensive momentum.

Packers vs. Giants: Monday Night Football Prediction
The Giants defense has also lacked consistency and internal control with a x3.5 bounce rate. They started the season with four very consistent performances, but since have been all over the place. In fact, since those first four games, their bounce rate is x4.3, which suggests their inconsistency is only getting worse. The Packers must take advantage of this. Ultimately, the Packers vs. Giants game is likely to highlight the importance of internal control in determining team performance, with the Packers’ consistency being a decisive factor in the outcome.

Monday Night Football Prediction: Packers vs. Giants Defense
Titans vs. Dolphins: Monday Night Football Prediction
Dolphins Influenced By Opponent Quality
The Dolphins have demonstrated a pattern of performance influenced significantly by the quality of their opponents, as shown by their x2.8 bounce rate. This rate reveals below-average internal control over their scoring behavior, making their performance heavily dependent on external factors like opponent strength. Facing the Titans, who have a middle-of-the-road defense, the critical question is which version of the Dolphins’ offense will emerge.
As a coach, the strategy would be to enhance internal control, perhaps by implementing more consistent offensive plays that are less influenced by the defensive quality of the opposition. Look for heavy outside zone and playaction/misdirection from the Dolphins.Â
Dolphins D Learning Quickly
On the defensive front, the Dolphins have shown a remarkable improvement in score prevention behavior, improving by 25% week to week. However, their high bounce rate of x3.1 indicates a significant learning curve, likely due to adapting to new defensive coordinator Vic Fangio’s system. Yet, since Week 6, their reduced bounce rate of x2.1 suggests strengthening internal control. The strategic approach here would be to continue this trajectory of improvement, reinforcing the behaviors and strategies that have led to recent successes.

Titans vs. Dolphins: Monday Night Prediction
Time Matters For Titans Offense
The Titans, on the other hand, are seeing a positive trend in their scoring behavior with rookie quarterback Will Levis, especially after an initial period of regression. This suggests that Levis is starting to find his footing. Historically a ball control offense, the Titans have been moving in the opposite direction with Levis. For this Monday Night Football prediction, reverting to a ball control strategy might be beneficial, especially to support the defense against the Dolphins’ offense. This approach would involve focusing on maintaining possession and controlling the game’s tempo, reducing the Dolphins’ offensive opportunities.
Monday Night Football Picks
Packers vs. Giants: MNF Pick & Prediction
- Projected Score (Average Across All Non-Outlier Outcomes)
- Packers 23.34 (W), Giants 17.13
- Bets Placed
- Packers Moneyline (-260)
- Giants +6.5 (-110, 1/2 Unit Bet)
- Risk Report
- Most Likely Outlier: The Giants On Either Side Of The Ball
- Proceed With Caution
Titans vs. Dolphins: MNF Pick & Prediction
- Projected Score (Average Across All Non-Outlier Outcomes)
- Titans 14.43, Dolphins 23.85 (W)
- Bets Placed
- Titans +13.5 (-110, 1/2 Unit Bet)
- Alt. UNDER 48.5 (-125)
- Risk Report
- Most Likely Outlier: The Dolphins On Either Side Of The Ball
- Proceed With Caution
**All Odds provided by PointsBet (Last Updated Sunday PM)
** All Pigeon Picks bets tracked at Pikkit