The Chiefs vs. Packers matchup is the focus of our Sunday Night Football prediction. This game is poised to be a strategic battle, with both teams showing strong internal control in their respective performances. The Chiefs are looking to cement their offensive growth, while the Packers’ defense and evolving offense under Jordan Love present formidable challenges. With less room for outliers, this game is expected to be a tightly contested affair, epitomizing the unpredictability and thrill of Sunday Night Football. Here is the full Behavior Profile for both teams, and every bet we’ve placed.
Sunday Night Football Prediction: What To Know
- When:
- Sunday Night, December 3rd, 8:20 pm, est
- Where:
- Lambeau Stadium, Green Bay, WI
- Odds:
- Line: Chiefs -6
- O/U: 42.5
- What To Do:
- Take full advantage of our EXCLUSIVE Behavior Profiling with the ONLY model backed by the science of human behavior🧬
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Chiefs vs. Packers: Bets Placed
Here are the Sunday Night Football picks we made off of the Football Behavior NFL Bets prediction model:
- Packers Alt. Spread +7.5 (-160)
- Packers +6 (-110)
- Chiefs UNDER 26.5 (-160, 1/2 Unit Bet)
- Packers OVER 16.5 (-160, 1/2 Unit Bet)
Despite the recent uptick, the Chiefs’ Scoring Behavior rate (SBx) has been experiencing a 3% decay week to week. This steady decline, coupled with their x2.2 bounce rate, suggests that the challenges faced by the Chiefs this season have been predominantly self-inflicted. However, there’s a ray of hope. With another week of growth, the Chiefs could pivot their SBx celeration rate into an improvement trajectory, a key factor in this Sunday Night Football prediction. The Chiefs vs. Packers game is expected to be a decisive moment, potentially marking a turning point for the Chiefs’ offensive consistency.
Sunday Night Football Prediction: Chiefs vs. Packers Defense
On the other side, the Packers’ defense stands as a pillar of stability. Their outlier-adjusted x1.9 bounce rate indicates a commendable resilience to external factors, with their performances being less influenced by the varying strengths of their opponents. With an average Score Prevention Behavior rate (SPBx) of 0.647, slightly above the league average, the Packers’ defense has been a reliable force, providing a consistent backdrop to the team’s overall performance. This defensive solidity will be crucial in the Chiefs vs. Packers showdown, as they face a Chiefs offense that is eager to establish a more consistent scoring pattern.
Sunday Night Football Prediction: Packers vs. Chiefs Offense
The Packers’ offense, under the guidance of Jordan Love, has seen five consecutive weeks of SBx growth. Although this improvement is from a lower baseline, and their overall SBx celeration rate is still in regression, this Sunday’s game offers an opportunity for the Packers’ offense to continue its upward trajectory. A strong offensive performance against the Chiefs could help solidify Love’s position as the team’s future quarterback. This aspect forms a critical part of the Sunday Night Football prediction, as the Packers aim to demonstrate continued growth in their offensive capabilities.
Sunday Night Football Prediction: Packers vs. Chiefs Defense
Meanwhile, the Chiefs’ defense remains a formidable unit. Despite a slight week-to-week regression in their SPBx, their geometric mean of 0.546 points allowed per minute of opponent possession time places them among the elite defenses in the league. Their ability to consistently restrict the scoring opportunities of opposing teams will be a key determinant in the Chiefs vs. Packers game.
Sunday Night Football Prediction: Chiefs vs. Packers Offense
Chiefs vs. Packers: Sunday Night Football Pick
The projection for the final score, based on our Environmental Control Chart, indicates a closer contest than many might assume, with the most likely individual outcome having the Chiefs winning 21-18. Both teams have demonstrated strong internal control over their performances, suggesting a reduced probability of outlier performances. This balance between the two teams adds an extra layer of excitement to this Sunday Night Football prediction.
Chiefs vs. Packers: SNF Pick & Prediction
- Projected Score (Average Across All Non-Outlier Outcomes)
- Chiefs 21.44, Packers 18.80
- Bets Placed
- Packers Alt. Spread +7.5 (-160)
- Packers +6 (-110)
- Chiefs UNDER 26.5 (-160, 1/2 Unit Bet)
- Packers OVER 16.5 (-160, 1/2 Unit Bet)
- Risk Report
- Most Likely Outlier: Chiefs Offense (22%)
- Relatively Safe Bet
**All Odds provided by Caesars (Last Updated Saturday PM)
** All Pigeon Picks bets tracked at Pikkit
