In tonight’s Monday Night Football prediction, the spotlight shines on the intriguing matchup between the Chicago Bears and the Minnesota Vikings. This game, a classic NFC North rivalry, promises to display a strategic battle on both sides of the ball, providing insights into the teams’ evolving behavioral dynamics. Both teams want to do the same thing: control the clock. Below is every bet placed for our Monday Night Football picks, and the behavioral analysis they are based off of. 

 

Monday Night Football Prediction: What To Know

 

  • When:
    • Monday, November 27th, 8:15 pm, est 
  • Where:
    • US Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
  • Odds:
    • Bears +135
    • Vikings -160
  • What To Do:
    • Take full advantage of our EXCLUSIVE Behavior Profiling with the ONLY model backed by the science of human behavior🧬,
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Bears vs. Vikings: Monday Night Football Picks

 

Bets Placed:

  • Vikings Moneyline (-155)
  • Vikings Alt Spread -4.5 (+104)
  • Alt OVER 39.5 (-184)
  • Vikings Alt OVER 20.5 (-184)
  • Bears Alt UNDER 22.5 (-174, 1/2 Unit Bet)
  • Dutch Bet (+130, What Is Dutch Betting?)
    • Vikings Win By 1-6 Points
      OR
    • Vikings Win By 7-12
  • 2-Leg (+144, 1/2 Unit Bet)
    • Vikings Moneyline
    • OVER 39.5

 

 

Monday Night Football Picks: Bears vs. Vikings

Monday Night Football Picks: Bears vs. Vikings

 

 

The Bears offense, facing a challenging season, is experiencing a worrying trend. Despite the anticipated return of Justin Fields, there hasn’t been a significant improvement over Tyler Bagent. The team’s scoring behavior is diminishing at an 8% rate week over week, raising concerns about their offensive efficiency. This regression puts extra pressure on the Bears as they prepare for the Vikings’ defense, which, while not exceptional, has been sufficient in most games this season. In our Monday Night Football picks, the Bears’ offense’s ability to break this trend is crucial for their success against the Vikings.

 

 

Monday Night Football Prediction: Bears vs. Vikings Defense

Monday Night Football Prediction: Bears vs. Vikings Defense

 

 

On the defensive front, the Bears have shown inconsistency, with a 6% regression in score prevention behavior. Last week marked their worst defensive performance of the season, following what had been their best. This recent volatility is alarming because prior to the last four weeks they had seen a steady and drastic week to week improvement, as seen by the black line on the chart below. Now, when facing a Vikings offense that, despite recent struggles, has shown an overall improvement, the Bears vs Vikings matchup will test Chicago’s defense’s resilience and ability to bounce back from recent setbacks.

 

Monday Night Football Prediction: Bears vs. Vikings Offense

Monday Night Football Prediction: Bears vs. Vikings Offense

 

 

As for the other side in this matchup, the Vikings’ offense, under Josh Dobbs, initially seemed promising, but recent games have cast a shadow of doubt. Despite an 8% overall improvement in scoring behavior, the offense’s scoring behavior in the last three games has seen a steep decline of 74% week to week. This regression is a critical point in our Monday Night Football prediction, as it could indicate underlying issues in the Vikings’ offensive strategy. Their encounter with the Bears’ fluctuating defense could be a defining moment for both teams.

 

Monday Night Football Prediction: Vikings vs. Bears Defense

Monday Night Football Prediction: Vikings vs. Bears Defense

 

 

Interestingly, the Vikings defense, though mediocre in score prevention behavior, has benefitted from their offense controlling the clock in recent weeks. This factor has been crucial in keeping their defense fresh and more effective on the field. However, in the Bears vs Vikings faceoff, Chicago’s offense is also capable of dominating time of possession. For the Vikings to triumph in this Monday Night Football scenario, their defense will need to step up and ensure quicker opponent possessions.

 

Monday Night Football Prediction: Vikings vs. Bears Offense

Monday Night Football Prediction: Vikings vs. Bears Offense

 

Bears vs. Vikings Monday Night Football Picks

 

As we approach the game, our analysis converges on a final score prediction: Vikings 24.02, Bears 19.05. This forecast is an average of all potential outcomes, factoring in the offensive and defensive behaviors of both teams. The Bears vs Vikings clash on Monday Night Football is not just a game of strength and skill but also a battle of strategies and behavioral adaptability.

Bears vs. Vikings MNF Pick & Prediction

 

Tonight’s Monday Night Football prediction hinges on key battles: the Bears’ offense seeking to overcome its regression against the Vikings’ adequate defense, and the Vikings’ offense aiming to prove its consistency against the Bears’ unpredictable defense. As these narratives unfold, the Bears vs Vikings game promises to be an engaging and tactical showdown, encapsulating the essence of our Monday Night Football picks.

 

Projected Score:

  • Vikings 24.02 (W)
  • Bears 19.05

 

Bets Placed:

  • Vikings Moneyline (-155)
  • Vikings Alt Spread -4.5 (+104)
  • Alt OVER 39.5 (-184)
  • Vikings Alt OVER 20.5 (-184)
  • Bears Alt UNDER 22.5 (-174, 1/2 Unit Bet)
  • Dutch Bet (+130)
    • Vikings Win By 1-6 Points
      OR
    • Vikings Win By 7-12
  • 2-Leg (+144, 1/2 Unit Bet)
    • Vikings Moneyline
    • OVER 39.5

 

Risk Report

  • 21.7% Outlier Adjusted Risk 
  • Most Likely Outlier Performance: Bears Defense (33%)

 

**All Odds provided by Caesars (Last Updated Sunday PM)

** All Pigeon Picks bets tracked at Pikkit

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