Our Football Behavior Sunday Night Football prediction for the Week 10 Jets vs. Raiders matchup examInes the Raiders new performance environment following their first game since firing Josh McDaniels. Is such a drastic change in behavior sustainable? We already know the Jets behaviors, and decided to focus our Sunday Night Football picks there. Here is everything you need to know.
Sunday Night Football Prediction: What To Know
- When:
- Sunday Night, November 12th, 8:20 pm, est
- Where:
- Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada
- Odds:
- Jets -110
- Raiders -110
Jets vs. Raiders: Bets Placed
Here are the Sunday Night Football picks we made off of the Football Behavior NFL Bets prediction model:
- Jets Alt. UNDER 21.5
- Alt. Game UNDER 40.5
Our Sunday Night Football Prediction tries to account for the Raiders new environment following the firing of Josh McDaniels and benching of Jimmy G, and the subsequent explosion of fun and quality football that ensued. Now, to be clear, they played the Giants. However, the offense produced their best SBx of the season. In fact their SBx of 1 last week is double their 0.5 season SBx average. Prior to McDaniels being fired, the Raiders were regressing in their scoring behavior by 23% week to week.
Too many players have come out and all but said McDaniels lost the locker room long ago. There is no question, as we have said repeatedly, that environment has the strongest control of human behavior. For a football team, the head coach is responsible for constructing and shaping the performance environment. So whether or not McDaniels failed in that regard is not really in question. The question is whether or not what we saw from the Raiders against the Giants is sustainable? Or was that an outlier and their true behavior in this new environment is somewhere in between?
Against this Jets defense, we are sure to find out. Our assumption based on the total tam behavior is that it is likely somewhere in between and we see a performance a bit closer to what we’ve seen from them prior. Normally, with such a new environmental phase change, and only one game worth of data, we would advise to stay away from this game. The truth is no one knows who this Raiders team is. Our recommendation would be to proceed with EXTREME caution if you are a sports bettor.
For us, we have only placed two bets and they are specific to the Jets, the one team in this Jets vs. Raiders matchup we know. That offense is dreadful. They are really struggling to score points, even when they do put decent drives together. Against the Chargers they got into Chargers territory multiple times early in the game, only to either suffer turnovers or drive killing penalties. Unfortunately for them, those aren’t anomalies. Nine games into the season, it has become a big part of who they are. Against a resurgent Raiders defense, we believe they’ll struggle to put up three touchdowns worth of points, something they have only done once in nine games.
Jets vs. Raiders: Sunday Night Football Pick
The Football Behavior Sunday Night Football prediction for Week 10 is that the Jets have an opportunity to steal one against the Raiders. The Raiders new playing environment provides a bit of uncertainty as to what they will do, but the Jets defense will certainly provide trouble for a team that has to re-find its identity and prove it can sustain whatever that will become. That said, expect the Jets to continue their offensive struggles.
Jets vs. Raiders: SNF Pick & Prediction
- Projected Score
- Jets 19, Raiders 17
- Straight Bets Placed
- Jets Alt. UNDER 21.5
- Alt. Game UNDER 40.5
- Risk Report
- 18.2% Chance Of Outlier Performances, When Accounting For Outliers: Relatively Safe Bet
- Most Likely Outlier: Raiders Offense due to massive change in performance environment
**All Odds provided by Caesars (Last Updated Saturday PM)
** All Pigeon Picks bets tracked at Pikkit
