Our Week 7 Sunday Night Football prediction will certainly look at the behavior of the Greatest Show On Surf. But perhaps more important is finding out if the Eagles offense can get going against this Miami Dolphins defense. That could be the key to this Dolphins vs. Eagles matchup.
Sunday Night Football Prediction: What To Know
- When:
- Sunday, October 22nd, 8:20 pm, est
- Where:
- Lincoln Financial, Philadelphia, PA
- Odds:
- Dolphins +126
- Eagles -150
Dolphins vs. Eagles Behavior Profiles: Dolphins Offense
The Greatest Show On Surf
Sunday Night Football Prediction: The Greatest Show On Surf Comes To Philly
Our points of focus for this Dolphins vs. Eagles Sunday Night Football prediction is the speed of the Dolphins offense. Most times, we say speed and we think speed on the field of the players. Make no mistake, the Dolphins have actual track stars headlining their offense. But, here when we me speed, we mean how fast they score points.
- The Dolphins score at the highest rate in the league
- They are averaging a scoring behavior rate of 1.134 points per minute of possession time.
- The next best team in the NFL, the 49ers, are a full tenth of a point per minute behind them
- This, despite the fact that the Dolphins only possess the ball on average for 27 minutes a game
Dolphins vs. Eagles: Dolphins Offense Is Incredibly Fast At Scoring
What’s nuts is that if the defense continues to improve and get the offense the ball back, driving up their time of possession, at their current SBx they could be scoring even more points per game.
Dolphins vs. Eagles Behavior Profiles: Eagles Offense
Eagles Offense Has Regressed
Sunday Night Football Prediction: Eagles Offense Is In A Clear Regression
This Dolphins vs. Eagles matchup has a lot of hype. The Dolphins are taking the league by storm, and the Eagles were just in the Super Bowl and have the top record in the NFC. But for this Sunday Night Football prediction, we need to look at the Eagles ash they are, not wh they were, which is what much of the discourse around them this year has been.
- The Eagles SBx is down 27% from a year ago
- In 2022 they averaged 0.925 points per minute of possession
- in 2023 that number is 0.633
- This despite averaging three minutes more of possession time than they did in 2022
Dolphins vs. Eagles: Eagles Offense Down 27% From 2022
Not only that, but the Eagles currently are regressing 21% week to week in SBx. This team, this one in 2023, is not a Super Bowl contender at present time with this offense. I wrote for Pro Football Network back in May, that this was coming with Jalen Hurts yet again needing to learn a new environment. Doesn’t mean he can’t, or won’t. Just means this regression is real and must be accounted for.
Dolphins vs. Eagles Sunday Night Football Pick
The Football Behavior Sunday Night Football prediction for the Week 7 Dolphins vs. Eagles matchup comes down to whether either defense can contribute to a change in their opponents offensive behavior. In the Eagles case, can they slow down the Dolphins? They have struggled against good offense, a trend going back to 2022.
Can the Dolphins defense keep the Eagles offense on their current trend line? The Dolphins defense has been leaky against some below average offenses, but their own offense has often been too overwhelming. This is the matchup to really watch closely.
Dolphins vs. Eagles SNF Pick & Prediction
All of the bets from Pigeon Pick Sports Betting Model can be tracked on Pikkit
- SNF Prediction: Final Score
- Dolphins 26
- Eagles 21
- Bets Placed
- Dolphins ML
- Dolphins +2.5
- Alt Spreads (What Are Alt Spreads?)
- Dolphins Alt. Spread -2.5
- QB Prop Picks
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- Game Risk Report
- 25% Chance Of Outlier Performances
- Reason: Dolphins Defense has a x3.7 bounce rate
**Odds last updated at PointsBet Wednesday evening