It is one thing to know the point spreads, or to have a feeling about who will win. It is an entirely different thing to strategize on how to turn that into a profit. At Football Behavior, we use our Pigeon Picks Prediction model to develop a unique sports betting strategy for various bets on NFL games. Here is our Week 1 edition of NFL predictions and how you can make a profit based on them!

Sports Betting Strategy:

Model-Based

Predictions For Week 1

We will go game by game through Week 1 in the NFL. Each game will have a final score prediction from the Pigeon Picks Prediction Model, followed by a sports betting strategy for various bets that can be placed by bettors. 

Reminder: Only Pigeon Picks subscribers will get predictions and a sports betting strategy for every single game, every single week, beyond just Primetime Games. Here is why you should upgrade to the Pigeon Picks Model:

  • PAYS FOR ITSELF
  • Hit 67% On 300+ NFL Bets In 2022
  • Had A 91% ROI
  • Was Ranked In The Top 10 For ROI By SharpRank
  • Get Every Final Score Prediction For Every Game, Every week
  • Risk Reports For Every Game
  • Weekly Team Behavior Profiles: See How Every Team Is Trending
  • Quarterback Props In All Primetime Games
  • Much More!

Primetime Games

Lions vs. Chiefs: Thursday Night Football

Jared Goff Is A Big Reason For This Lions vs. Chiefs Sports Betting Strategy

Jared Goff Is A Big Reason For This Lions vs. Chiefs Sports Betting Strategy

  • Final Score Prediction
    • Lions 23, Chiefs 26
  • Moneyline
    • Chiefs -275
  • Spread
    • Lions +6.5*
  • Dutching: Winning Margins (2 units placed on each, concurrently)
    • Chiefs By 1-6 (+310)
    • Lions By 1-6 (+450)
    • Chiefs By 7-12 (+400)
  • Game Risk Report
    • 20.8% Chance Of Outlier Performances
    • Safest Week 1 Game For Betting

*Football Behavior’s Pigeon Picks Model took the Lions +7 back on August 5th

Cowboys vs. Giants: Sunday Night Football

Daniel Jones and the Giants have the value

Daniel Jones and the Giants have the value

  • Final Score Prediction
    • Cowboys 22, Giants 23
  • Moneyline
    • Giants +150
  • Spread
    • Giants +3.5
  • Dutching: Winning Margins (1 units placed on each, concurrently)
    • Giants By 1-6 (+400)
    • Cowboys By 1-6 (+280)
  • Game Risk Report
    • 24.1% Chance Of Outlier Performances: Proceed With Caution
    • 6th Safest Week 1 Game For Betting

Bills vs. Jets: Monday Night Football

Rodgers and the Jets bring the value for bettors

Rodgers and the Jets bring the value for bettors

  • Final Score Prediction
    • Bills 20, Jets 23
  • Moneyline
    • Jets +120
  • Spread
    • Jets +2.5
  • Dutching: Winning Margins (2 units placed on each, concurrently)
    • Jets By 1-6 (+375)
    • Bills By 1-6 (+300)
    • Jets By 7-12 (+550)
  • Game Risk Report
    • 29.6% Chance Of Outlier Performances: Proceed With Extreme Caution
      • Reason: Brand New Jets Environment (QB, Offensive Personnel, Offensive Coordinator)
    • Riskiest Week 1 Game For Betting

Non-Primetime Games

These games are for Pigeon Picks subscribers only. To take full advantage of our Pigeon Picks Model-based sports betting strategy, upgrade to our premium membership and remove the superstition from your sports betting behavior!